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Ayala is a natural-born US citizen, and his wife is a naturalized citizen. But given reports of people €” even with legal status €” being detained and questioned at US borders, Ayala said taking a trip out of the country for fun doesn€™t seem worth the potential risk.

Ayala also sees another problem: the economy. €œThe writing is on the wall € The moment I saw the market volatility, I€™m like, €˜Yep, this is not going to be good.€™€

Travel advisers are seeing the impact of that uncertainty. More than 80% of the 460 advisers surveyed recently by TravelAge West were €œvery€ or €œsomewhat€ concerned about the impact of a possible economic downturn on their business, and more than half were €œvery€ concerned about the impact of government policies.

Their clients€™ top concern was economic uncertainty, followed by worries about the treatment of Americans abroad, safety and security, fears of cost increases due to tariffs, immigration and border policies, and travel restrictions.

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One shaft of light at the end of that tunnel could be savings on last-minute summer trips as travelers increasingly take a wait-and-see stance with their plans.

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Mahnken first saw signs of trouble in early April, when US stocks plunged over fears of a chaotic trade war.

Mahnken and her travel agency staff started getting phone calls from clients, calling to cancel vacations they had booked or seeking refundable trips. She said they were fearful because their 401(k)s and other investments had taken a dive. That uncertainty, she says, made them pause on discretionary spending like a summer trip.
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Flights booked in the opposite direction from Europe to the US are down 12% in the same period. That substantial drop is unusual, according to Jeremy Bowen, CEO of Cirium.

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